Beijing’s Strategy To Dominate The Western Pacific

Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich is the President of the Center for Strategic & Budgetary Assessments in Washington D.C., he is considered an expert on military strategy and assessing the status of contemporary threats.  His recent book “Seven Deadly Scenarios’ outlines the ‘String of Pearls Strategy’ that is China’s attempt to overcome the balance of power in Asia.

He writes ‘a countries military strategy offers a window into its intentions, and China is clearly seeking to effect a gradual but decisive shift in the Chinese – U.S. military balance.  China’s goal is to stop the U.S. from protecting its longstanding interests in the region, to draw Washington’s democratic allies and partners, into its orbit.

China’s military buildup centers around what Beijing calls its ‘Assassin’s Mace’.  This tactic is to exploit surprise while obscuring one’s motives.

How is the United States threatened?

We are over-reliant on an ephemeral technique, namely internet and satellites.

This is precisely where China wishes to hit first.  Beijing has developed anti-access/area denial capabilities specifically targeted to Kadena Air Bas on Okinawa and Anderson Air Force Base in Guam.  Dr. Krepinevich writes that ‘China now possess the ability to threaten the forward bases from which the U.S. operates in Asia.  China believes that after it has destroyed such bases it will use high speed sea skimming antiship cruise missiles to destroy U.S. submarines along with over the horizon radars and reconnaissance satellites to detect and destroy American Carriers.

Dr. Kripinevich correctly believes that the United States has maintained a favorable balance throughout the Western and Eastern Pacific that has enabled unprecedented peace and prosperity which China has been the chief principal beneficiary.  It is currently threatened.  Unless the United States actively strengthens its balance by engaging its allies in the Eastern/Western Pacific, China will overcome us within 10 years.

The ‘String of Pearls Strategy’ is Beijing’s goal to maintain a force posture at every Strait throughout the Pacific, Indian and Persian Gulf Oceans.  It is protecting its supply lines of oil that it correctly believes to be its lifeline.

What specific points of interest should the United States be cultivating to check Beijing’s strategy.  There are nine points of interest:

  1. The scope of our current commitments.
  2. The cost of personnel.
  3. The willingness or reticence of allies.
  4. The ability to maintain our balance of power in the Pacific.
  5. Keeping our force structure technologically superior
  6. Train for asymmetrical advatage
  7. Cultivate strategic genius among the military
  8. Know both geography and history of China, especially its impact on smaller Pacific cultures

This last point of interest is key to understanding how we can anticipate the first volley in  our confrontation with China.  It will take place in the South China Sea where China has the advantage of force multiplying by being so close to the Chinese mainland.

We need to understand how China is historically resented in its southern latitudes for the northern Han have traditionally dominated the South.  This attitude is not amiss among the Cambodians, Vietnamese, Indonesians, Japanese or others in the region.  They harbor no love for the Chinese, this is to our advantage.

Nevertheless, our current Executive is viewed as weak and wavering.  There are unintended consequences for this perception.

Its simple, the United States must maintain a favorable balance of power through engaging its allies in the region.  If it fails to do so, the Chinese are coming anyway.   We either take the lead to preserve the international order that favors liberty or it deteriorates.

About William Holland

Systematic Theologian/International Relations
This entry was posted in China, International Relations and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to Beijing’s Strategy To Dominate The Western Pacific

  1. web design says:

    Maybe you’ll tell me where the source of the publish is from? I am inquisitive about learning excellent about it.

Comments are closed.