Clearly, Aleppo and Syria writ large is Obama’s Rwanda. It didn’t need to be that way, but Amerian resolve is damaged in ways difficult to repair, just watch as the Ankara-Moscow detente hampers Kurish ambitions while strengthening a westward moving Shia crescent. As of now, it cannot be stopped.
For an emerging occupant at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, the die is cast hard and in unfavorable ways. General Mattis isn’t wrong when he said that America had a security problem and a solvency problem. The fact is difficult for any emerging leader to acknowledge, but the Obama Presidency have left the American regime weaker.
The six year old Syrian civil war isn’t ending, it’s moving into a new different phase. Russia has given cover for Erodgan to move against the Kurds in northern Syria while acknowledging Iranian supremacy in light infantry moving west toward the eastern Mediterranean. While Putin gets military bases throughout Syria moving east, its clout and tactical cache that the Russians now have against any counter move we may make against Iran. The strategic gains initiated by Nixon and consummated by Kissenger are gone, and with it, diminishing American options.
The world’s authoritarians are on the march, aggressively advancing interests inimical to security. Unless we open new advances against Putin and Iran, we’re left sidelined, without options, allies or interests to defend.